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Is Ohio a lost cause for Biden and Democrats? 2022 will tell the tale.

For more than a century, Ohio has been considered a bellwether state. Its voters have sided with the winning presidential ticket in all but two elections from 1896 to 2016. Yet, after two victories by Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, the 2016 outcome suggested Ohio was moving from purple to red – as the state voted 5 points to the right of the rest of the country.

Republicans have held control of all statewide offices for a decade and maintain large majorities in the state legislature. A poor showing among Democrats in Ohio in 2018 in an otherwise strong midterm and another convincing Donald Trump victory in 2020 suggest the state is no longer competitive for Democrats. And yet, Joe Biden just made his third trip to Ohio since becoming president Jan. 20.

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